The DEFEND Cleveland Show

Jaguars vs Browns – Week 13 – DC Show Preview

WEEDEN WORRY

 
Brandon Weeden is 0-6 in his last 6 starts going back to last year, but this week he is going against the worse than bad Jacksonville Jaguars. He’s got this. Right?

Sure Weed’s has looked terrible in a way no other NFL QB seems capable. Possibly ever. Sure just when you think he can do no worse, he does. Almost always. Sure he’s now considered by most fans to be the worst quarterback in Browns history, which is saying a lot. A HELL OF A LOT.

He is after all, the Full Weeden.

But this week he starts against the Jags.

And yes, even Brandon Weeden can win this one.

I swear.

Which I will do quite loudly all day long on Sunday if I’m wrong. Guaranteed.
 

Matchups to Watch For

 

– Will a Wide Receiver NOT named Josh Gordon Please Do Something – I’ve been tough on Gordon due to his lack of hustle on too many plays, poor route running, the fact he has seemingly never come back for the ball once in his career, and of course, since he’s been caught stoned stupid so often he’s but one more toke away from an indefinite suspension. He’s a pisser. If only because he’s so damn talented.

Case in point, even after missing 2 games this year to suspension, having 3 different starting quarterbacks throwing him the ball (one of which being a guy named Brandon Weeden), and all the other noted deficiencies, he’s somehow still on pace to set the Browns single season receiving record and is ultimately playing like one of the better receivers in the game. What’s the real problem then? Though Gordon’s been rather great, the other wide-outs on the team have simply been the worst in the NFL.

Hello Devon Bess who leads the league in drops and Greg Little who has mostly been invisible. Taking a look at this recent article by ProFootballFocus to help paint this “Help Wanted!” sign for the Browns, not only has Greg Little been as bad as it gets given how many routes he’s had called, in yards per route run, Bess ranks 79th out of 85 receivers with at least 200 snaps in route and Little ranks 82nd. In other words, as much as you want to say Brandon Weeden has been awful (he has), that Jason Campbell is the King of Checkdown (he is), and even that Hoyer doesn’t stretch the field enough (he doesn’t), the bottom line is none of them have had much to throw to.

Outside of Gordon, if the play of the guys whose sole job it is to catch the ball doesn’t get significantly better, the Browns will be hard pressed to beat even the very worst the NFL has to offer. Such as the Jacksonville Jaguars.

 

– He Who Gets Sacked the Least Will Win – If there’s something Brandon Weeden appears to love more than holding on to the ball, it’s getting sacked. But if there’s anything the Jaguars do better than losing, it’s letting their quarterbacks get sacked.1

Something has to give.

The Browns should hold this edge given Ray Horton’s hallmark propensity for getting pressure on the passer2. However, given Weeden’s propensity to be Weeden, anything goes.

 

– He Who Throws Less Interceptions Will Win – Sense a theme here yet? This game isn’t likely to be about the better team winning, it’s more like whoever’s the worst team will lose.

Both Weeden and Chad Henne have averaged just over 1 interception a start, yet, according to Michael DiRocco who covers the Jags for ESPN.com, Jacksonville’s secondary has nabbed but 2 interceptions all year and only 1 the last seven weeks. Cleveland’s secondary may not pick the ball off much either but they have done so three times as much as Jacksonville. Does this then give Weeden the edge? Will it be the difference in the game? Let’s hope the answer is yes on both accounts, and let he who sucks less win the day!

 

Prediction

 

The Browns average more passing and rushing yards per game than the Jags. Win. The Browns give up less yards passing and rushing per game than the Jags. Win. The The Browns average 5.6 more points a game than the Jags. Win. The Browns give up 5.4 less points a game than the Jags. Win. The Browns have Brandon Weeden at quarterback and…all of a sudden it’s likely to be a close game.

The spread opened and continues to stand at -7 Cleveland, and though I’m sticking to what I’ve thought since the 2013 schedule was announced that the Browns win this game, because of Weeden and all the other problems offensively that clearly doesn’t begin or end at just the quarterback position, they do not cover the spread.

It’s a close game and it’s far from pretty, but Cleveland gets its 5th win of the year against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Go Browns.
 
 
-Mike James
 

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  1. Since 2011 only the Arizona Cardinals have given up more sacks (142) than the Jacksonville Jaguars 131 combined sacks. []
  2. The Browns have 31 sacks on the year compared to only 17 by the Jags []

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Posted by on Dec 1 2013. Filed under Featured, Show Reports. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can leave a response or trackback to this entry

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