The DEFEND Cleveland Show

Mike James’ Week 10 NFL Picks

OAKLAND, CA - DECEMBER 07: Derek Carr #4 of the Oakland Raiders celebrates in the fourth quarter against the San Francisco 49ers at O.co Coliseum on December 7, 2014 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images)

Last week we introduced the Randomizer Picks and let Mike battle both the Vegas odds and chance. What did we learn? Mike in his picks went 1-2 as did the Randomizer, so all we can really deduce is something we already knew: when betting against the spread, it isn’t the person who thinks they know way too much about NFL games who wins, nor is it chance. Nope, the only winner when betting against the spread, is and forever will be, Vegas. And that doesn’t even account for the juice that the sports bookies get no matter if they win or lose, even though they still win far more than they lose. It’s as if life is unfair or some shit. With that in mind, here’s Mike versus the Randomizer and Defend Cleveland’s picks for Week 10 of the NFL, and may the odds be with you…

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15-11-1 on the year, 1-2 last week (Randomizer 1-2)…

 

Philadelphia -6 versus Miami: My one win last week? Betting that Miami would suck. And we’re going back to that well here again in Week 10. Have you noticed how much better Philly has looked since Week 5? Sure they needed overtime to beat a desperate Dallas team, but that’s a Cowboy crew who even without Romo is still more talented than a Dolphins team who really needs to just hit the reset button and start all over. Dantallica against Chip Kelly anyone? Unless it’s an arm wrestling contest, I’m betting Chip every time. Eagles by the touchdown they need to cover.

Randomizer Pick One: #4 =  Packers -10.5 vs Detroit. So the Randomizer likes cheese more than it likes Texas? As much as winning by 11 or more isn’t easy in the NFL, can’t fault the program for picking poorly here. (To assign the number to each team for the Randomizer to make its selection, we simply went down the list of games on VegasInsider and numbered the teams 1-28 from top to bottom for the 14 games played this week.)

 

Cleveland +6 versus Pittsburgh: Usually I stay away from betting the Browns here because I cover the team and know better, but there’s just something about this game that makes me think Cleveland will keep it close. Yes, DeAngelo Williams even on one foot should still be good for a buck-fifty and a couple scores, and Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant, even with Landry likely to be under center, are far more impressive than a secondary that’s talking about increasing snaps for Justin “A Bust” Gilbert in coverage, but something about this “rivalry” and the very real situation that sees coach Mike Pettine seemingly down to his last straw of there being any chance he’s able to keep his job, and I wouldn’t even be too surprised if the Browns somehow pulled off the shocker. Whether Cleveland wins or not, and whether McCown and/or Manziel is still left standing under their own power afterwards or not, the Browns against the not so great run defense of the Steelers will show signs of there finally being some semblance of a rushing attack (like they did in the first half of last week’s game against Cinci), they’ll also force a turnover or two, and get at least one big play on offense (T. Benj and Big Play Barnidge, anyone?), and the Cleveland Browns, at minimum, keep this one close… Go Browns.

Randomizer Pick Two: #27 = Texans +11 at Bengals. Word is Brian Hoyer and the Randomizer are an item, this according to all the hearts drawn around Hoyer’s name I saw inked on Randomizer’s notebook this week. Nothing excites chance more than the idea of Hoyer somehow being a starting QB in the NFL, I guess. Be careful though, this is surely a dangerous love.

 

Oakland -3 versus Minnesota. I’m 0-2 the last couple weeks betting against the Vikings and I’ll be damned if I’m going to go 0-3! Though I am willing to now concede that Minnesota is better than I’ve given them credit for (as I have been forced as such), but the Raiders are still the better team and they’re at home. With only three games at 4pm tomorrow and the other two involving the Broncos and the Patriots, this one is sure to get third billing on the marquee, however, these two teams facing off has the makings of being the best of the late afternoon matchups. Both teams have top rated defenses1, but Oakland’s strength defensively has been against the run which should somewhat negate the main attack of the Vikings with Adrian Peterson, meanwhile, Derek Carr’s led attack has been every bit worthy of the lofty praise it’s received this year and will once again prove to be the difference. This one is likely to go down to the wire, but it’s sure to end up a Raiders win at home by 4 or more.

Ranomizer Pick Three: #5 = Cowboys +1 at Buccaneers. Randomizer didn’t like Houston but it does like the Cowboys to end their 6 game losing streak in Tampa. Don’t mess with Texas…as long as it’s Dallas? Stupid, Randomizer.

 

– Mike James

 

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The DC Show with host Mike James airs live every Monday morning from 9am-11:30am on WRUW-FM 91.1 Cleveland, and streams world wide here.

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  1. According to PFF []

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